Boys - Girls
Elkhart Central Regional
2005 - 2006 - 2007



These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this regional. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a projection of this round of the tournament.


RankNameGradeSchoolRatingState Rank
1  Jaurice Dye 12 Elkhart Memorial 15:50 #10  
2  Loren Spirito 12 Northridge 15:56 #16  
3  Nathan Morrow 11 DeKalb 16:18 #38  
4  Ladd Mercer 11 Northridge 16:19 #39  
5  Ryan Smythe 11 Wawasee 16:23 #47  
6  Andrew Albert 10 Northridge 16:28 #59  
7  Chuck Wysong 12 West Noble 16:31 #65  
8  Derrick Thomas 12 Elkhart Memorial 16:35 #76  
9  Wade Buchs 12 DeKalb 16:43 #107  
RankNameSectionalRatingState Rank
1  Northridge Elkhart Central 260 #5  
2  Elkhart Memorial Elkhart Central 334 #10  
3  Wawasee Elkhart Central 421 #29  
4  DeKalb West Noble 441 #32  
5  West Noble West Noble 482 #38  



Regional Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Only teams that advanced out of the sectional simulation for each trial were included in the regional simulation for that trial. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.


SchoolAdvances to RoundAvg FinishAvg ScoreMin ScoreMax Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Northridge 100.0% 1.1 39 19 73 89.4 9.7 0.8 0.2
Elkhart Memorial 100.0% 2.2 58 25 99 9.5 71.3 14.0 4.3 0.9
Wawasee 100.0% 3.5 76 40 121 0.9 11.5 43.3 29.5 14.8
DeKalb 100.0% 3.9 81 41 125 0.2 5.4 28.0 39.9 26.5
West Noble 100.0% 4.4 88 47 126 0.1 2.1 13.9 26.2 57.7


RunnerSchoolRatingAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Jaurice Dye Elkhart Memorial 15:50 100.0% 1.0 65.1 28.7 4.4 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0
Loren Spirito Northridge 15:56 100.0% 1.3 33.3 55.8 8.5 1.9 0.4 0.1 0.0
Nathan Morrow DeKalb 16:18 100.0% 3.6 1.1 7.8 28.6 20.8 16.2 10.3 6.7 3.9 2.2 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Ladd Mercer Northridge 16:19 100.0% 3.8 0.1 2.8 28.2 24.3 17.9 11.5 6.3 4.2 2.1 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Ryan Smythe Wawasee 16:23 100.0% 4.7 0.4 3.3 15.0 18.3 17.7 16.0 11.7 7.1 4.2 2.8 1.6 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Andrew Albert Northridge 16:28 100.0% 5.8 0.3 5.2 14.1 17.3 17.6 13.8 10.9 7.4 4.9 3.2 1.8 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1
Chuck Wysong West Noble 16:31 100.0% 6.4 0.1 1.1 6.5 9.7 12.6 14.6 15.3 11.8 9.0 6.4 4.3 3.1 2.1 1.2 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1
Derrick Thomas Elkhart Memorial 16:35 100.0% 7.5 0.3 3.1 5.9 8.4 11.4 13.3 13.9 11.2 9.4 6.5 5.1 3.4 2.6 2.0 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.1
Wade Buchs DeKalb 16:43 100.0% 10.3 0.1 1.3 2.9 5.3 7.7 9.7 10.6 9.6 10.1 8.0 6.9 5.8 5.2 4.4 3.1 2.5 2.2 1.6